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Praise or Pressure: What CENTCOM's Commendation for the LAF Tells Lebanon

U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) chief Brad Cooper’s praise of the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) for uncovering a "massive underground tunnel" near the southern border represents far more than routine diplomatic protocol. While his February 9 statement commended the LAF, it implicitly contested the Lebanese army’s announcement the previous month ...

Iranian State TV: Tehran Insists on Enrichment Rights

Iran confirmed on Tuesday that the second round of indirect negotiations with the United States will be limited exclusively to its nuclear program and the lifting of sanctions, according to Iranian state television. The report stressed that the agenda of the talks, being held at Oman’s consulate in Geneva, will not extend beyond nuclear-related ...

For a Better Druze Future, Jumblatt Needs New Ideas

Walid Jumblatt, Lebanon’s most seasoned and cunning political operator, has navigated every twist of the country’s turmoil since taking the reins of the Druze community in 1977. Convinced that his father Kamal’s assassination stemmed from political overreach, Jumblatt has pursued relentlessly cautious and conservative policies, always ...

Hezbollah MP Urges Lebanese State to Rethink Security Approach After Deadly Israeli Strikes

Lebanon’s fragile security situation came back into sharp focus Saturday after Israeli air and naval strikes killed at least 14 people and wounded dozens of others in eastern Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley, prompting renewed condemnation and government criticism from Hezbollah MPs.  Rami Abu Hamdan, a member of parliament affiliated with Hezbollah, ...

What Are the U.S. Demands for Iran?

As a U.S. aircraft carrier strike group “armada” approaches the Gulf and rhetoric intensifies between the Trump administration and Iranian officials, U.S. and European officials outline three demands to Iran, according to a New York Times report on Wednesday. The Nuclear Issue One demand is to reach an agreement on the nuclear issue; ...

Turkey Arrests Two on Charges of Spying for Israel

Turkish intelligence has arrested two people on suspicion of spying for Israel's Mossad and providing information that helped the spy agency target its enemies, state news agency Anadolu reported Friday. Security sources said Mehmet Budak Derya and Veysel Kerimoglu had been arrested in Istanbul, saying they had long been on the radar of ...

U.S. to Resume Iran Nuclear Talks After Brief Cancellation Signal

Senior U.S. officials said on Wednesday that they will proceed with plans to convene in Muscat, Oman on Friday to discuss the nuclear issue after reports earlier in the day signaled a cancellation of the talks.  The U.S. has modified its position on the U.S.-Iran nuclear talks after nine Arab and Muslim countries lobbied for U.S. participation ...

Can a New Round of U.S.–Iran Talks Avert Escalation?

Amid elevated military tensions, the U.S. and Iran are now cautiously opening diplomatic channels, indicating an interest in averting a major conflict with potentially uncontrollable consequences for the region. In recent days, a series of mixed signals—from hawkish statements and regional warnings to indirect exchanges via ...

The End of the Middle East’s Oil Bonanza

The Middle East has finally arrived at the grim reckoning long barreling toward it: a ruinous collapse of oil revenues that renders government deficits utterly unsustainable. Among the wealthy Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, four are running persistent annual budget deficits that are eroding their sovereign wealth reserves and plunging ...

From Armed Deterrence to Durable Peace: Rethinking Shiite Security in Lebanon

Despite failing to instill ideological allegiance to Iran's Wilayat al-Faqih among Lebanon's Shia, Hezbollah has succeeded in forging a sense of collective belonging to Iran’s political project. The party achieved this more consequential outcome by recasting its weapons as a political doctrine and overarching identity, portrayed as superior to ...

Iran Warns Shipping Ahead of Live-Fire Naval Drills Near Strait of Hormuz

Iran has sent out warnings to passing ships of live-fire naval exercises expected to be conducted next week near the Strait of Hormuz, according to the Associated Press. The Strait of Hormuz is a significant bottleneck in global energy supply chains, seeing 20% of global oil shipments, and would be vulnerable in the event of a conflict with ...

Iran Warns of Strong Response as U.S. Pressure Mounts

Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi announced that Iran would respond strongly to any U.S. attack on the country on Wednesday in a post on X as the U.S. “armada” arrives in the Gulf. “Our brave armed forces are prepared—with their fingers on the trigger—to immediately and powerfully respond to any ...

Iranian Authorities Arrest Several Prominent Reformist Figures: Fars News Agency

Iranian authorities on Sunday arrested three reformist figures including the head of Iran's Reform Front coalition, Azar Mansouri, the Fars news agency reported. "Azar Mansouri, Ebrahim Asgharzadeh, and Mohsen Aminzadeh were arrested by security and judicial institutions," the agency said. "The accusations against these individuals include ...

Druze Leader: Qassem's Statements are "Irresponsible"

On Tuesday, Former President of the Progressive Socialist Party and Druze leader, Walid Jumblatt, attacked the most recent speech delivered by Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem, describing it as “irresponsible, irresponsible, irresponsible,” according to L’Oreint Today.  Jumblatt said, “I do not know why he wants to drag part of ...

Trump Warns Iran: “Massive Armada” Headed Your Way

President Donald Trump issued a stark warning to Iran on Wednesday on his Truth Social account, saying a large U.S. naval force is en route and urging Tehran to negotiate a deal to halt its nuclear ambitions. Trump described the deployment as an “Armada” moving quickly toward Iran, and emphasized the fleet’s power and ...

Trump Says U.S. Will Stop Helping Iraq if al-Maliki Returns to Premiership

President Trump expressed on Truth Social on Tuesday that the U.S. will cease helping Iraq if former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki returns to power.  Trump asserted that “because of [Nouri al-Maliki’s] insane policies and ideologies, if elected, the United States of America will no longer help Iraq.”  Al-Maliki was ...

WB Approves $350 Million to Support Lebanon’s Recovery and Digital Transformation

On Monday, the World Bank’s Board of Executive Directors approved $350 million in new financing to help Lebanon address the basic needs of its poorest and most vulnerable populations while advancing the digital transformation of public services. The funding, split between two projects, aims to provide social protection, promote economic ...

After Maduro: The Challenge of Dismantling Hezbollah in Venezuela

After U.S. special forces captured Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in Caracas on January 3, Secretary of State Marco Rubio vowed that Washington would uproot Hezbollah and Iranian influence in the South American country. “We are not going to have a country like Venezuela in our own hemisphere, in the sphere of control and the crossroads for ...

Why Hezbollah’s Base Is Battling the President Digitally

If Lebanon were a normal country, the presidency would be the one place where politics slows down, where disputes are processed through institutions, where crises are turned into decisions, and where the state, at minimum, performs statehood. But Lebanon is not a normal country. And that is why the recent surge of pro-Hezbollah campaigning ...

The Council of the South: Hezbollah and Amal’s Tool for Clientelism

The Council of the South was intended to be one of the Lebanese state’s key mechanisms for addressing the damage from wars with Israel, but it effectively became a partisan tool serving the Amal Movement and Hezbollah. It was established in 1970 primarily to help residents of southern Lebanon repair their homes and rebuild what had been ...

Israel Foils Two Lebanon-Linked Cells in West Bank

The Israeli Army’s Arabic spokesperson Avichay Adraee revealed on Tuesday that Israel’s Shin Bet security agency had thwarted the activity of two alleged terror cells operating in the West Bank under direct guidance from operatives based in Lebanon, as part of plans to carry out attacks against Israeli targets. In a post on X, Adraee said ...

Israel Kills Hezbollah Operative in Tallousa in Second Monday Airstrike

A second Israeli strike in Lebanon on Monday evening killed one person, targeting a car in the town of Tallousa in southern Lebanon’s Marjayoun district, according to the Public Health Emergency Operations Center.  The person killed by the drone strike was allegedly involved in recouping Hezbollah infrastructure, according to the Israeli army, ...

Lebanese Cabinet to Index IRGC Members Ahead of Deportation

Following a session held Thursday, the Council of Ministers committed to verifying the presence of Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) members in Lebanon, with a view to their ultimate expulsion, according to the Information Minister Dr. Paul Morcos. The step, the Cabinet said, aims to safeguard national security, assert state ...

Trump Declares Khamenei’s Death, Says U.S. Attacks in Iran to Continue

In a post on Truth Social, President Donald Trump spoke on the killing of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Announcing Khamenei’s death, Trump said that his killing is “justice” for people “that have been killed or mutilated by Khamenei and his gang of bloodthirsty THUGS.” Trump stated that U.S. attacks in Iran will continue ...