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Breaking the Cycle: Lebanon, Israel, and the Case for a New Strategic Approach

Since Hezbollah plunged Lebanon into war, key questions have emerged about the country’s domestic future. Foremost among them: how will the Lebanese state address Hezbollah’s arsenal, and what will Israel pursue in its campaign against the group? In the months leading up to the new war, it became clear that the Lebanese state had not fully ...

Israel Strikes Iran’s Caspian Supply Routes, Targeting Russian-Linked Arms Corridor

Israel has expanded the geographic scope of its war against Iran, carrying out a rare strike in the Caspian Sea region targeting what officials describe as a critical maritime corridor used to transport Russian-supplied weapons to Tehran. According to sources cited by The Wall Street Journal, the operation struck facilities at Iran’s Bandar ...

Oil Jumps, Stocks Drop on Uncertainty Over U.S.-Iran Talks

Oil prices jumped and equities slid Thursday as hopes for a peace deal between the U.S. and Iran wavered after Tehran rejected Washington's bid to wind down the nearly four-week war. Markets had been buoyed this week by U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement that strikes targeting Iran's energy infrastructure would be postponed, adding that ...

Israel Strikes South Lebanon, Beirut Suburbs as Hezbollah Keeps Up Attacks

Israel launched strikes on south Lebanon and Beirut's southern suburbs on Wednesday, Lebanese state media said, as Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah said it kept up attacks on Israeli troops. Lebanon was pulled into the Middle East war when Hezbollah began firing rockets into Israel on March 2 to avenge the killing of Iran's supreme ...

Trump Sends Peace Plan as Iran Opens to 'Non-Hostile' Oil Vessels

US President Donald Trump sent a peace plan to Iran as he voiced optimism Tuesday at ending nearly a month of warfare, with Tehran announcing that it will let "non-hostile" oil vessels go through the crucial Strait of Hormuz. The tentative signs of a diplomatic solution came despite new violence, with an Iranian missile causing injuries ...

Israel Says "Will Control" Up to Litani River

Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said the military "will control… a security zone up to the Litani" river, adding that displaced Lebanese residents will not return south of the river "until security is guaranteed for the residents of the north" of Israel. The territory between the border and the Lebanese river is roughly 30 kilometres (20 ...

Shrapnel Falls in Predominantly-Christian Areas North of Beirut

Explosions rocked several areas north of Beirut that have so far been spared in the ongoing Israel-Hezbollah war, according to residents and local media, with a military official saying the blasts likely came from an intercepted Iranian missile. Footage broadcast by the local LBCI channel in the coastal town of Sahel Alma showed a building with ...

Lebanon Will Keep Hezbollah’s Arms, Lose its South

Lebanon has made its choice. Instead of enforcing UN Security Council Resolution 1701 and its own cabinet’s decision to disarm Hezbollah, Beirut will allow the pro-Iran militia to keep its weapons but it will lose its territory south of the Litani River. While Lebanon will argue that Israel’s occupation would violate international law, this ...

From South Lebanon to Beirut's Southern Suburbs: Strikes Intensify

Israeli strikes intensified across Lebanon late Monday, with a series of airstrikes targeting Beirut’s southern suburbs, expanding operations beyond traditional Hezbollah strongholds and into new regions. The escalation followed renewed warnings by Avichay Adraee and came amid Israeli claims of arresting members of the Radwan Force and seizing ...

Israel Kills IRGC Navy Commander in Precision Airstrike

Israel’s Defence Minister Israel Katz announced Thursday that an Israeli airstrike killed Alireza Tangsiri, commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ navy. “Last night, in a precise and lethal operation, the IDF eliminated the commander of the Revolutionary Guards’ navy, Tangsiri, along with senior officers of the ...

What is Israel’s Invasion Calculus in Lebanon?

Israel appears poised to dramatically expand its invasion in southern Lebanon, with troops pushing deeper into the country as officials increasingly adopt rhetoric about establishing a buffer zone. On Wednesday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told local officials in northern Israel that the military was working to expand a “security ...

UNIFIL Says Peacekeepers Wounded in Multiple Incidents in South Lebanon

UN peacekeepers in south Lebanon were wounded in an incident near the Lebanese-Israeli border, a spokesperson for the force said Monday, without specifying the nature of the incident. "There has been an incident involving peacekeepers near Bani Hayyan, and we have injuries," Kandice Ardiel told AFP. Bani Hayyan is a Lebanese town near the border ...

Iran Parliament Speaker Says U.S. Plots Ground Attack Despite Diplomatic Efforts

Iran's parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Sunday that the United States was plotting a ground attack despite publicly engaging in diplomatic efforts aimed at ending the war. Yesterday, CENTCOM announced that the amphibious assault vessel USS Tripoli had joined the military concentration in the region. "The enemy publicly ...

Iran Confirms Death of IRGC Navy Commander Following Israeli Airstrike

Iran confirmed on Monday that Alireza Tangsiri, commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ navy (IRGCN), had been killed, days after Israel announced it had targeted him in an airstrike. A statement published by the Guards’ Sepah News website said Tangsiri “succumbed to severe injuries” from the attack, according to AFP. Israeli ...

Israel’s New Manual for Fighting Terrorist Militias

From the ruins of Gaza to the depopulated villages south of Lebanon’s Litani River, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) is testing a new doctrine that breaks with decades of conventional wisdom on combating terrorist actors. Rather than applying military pressure to bend governments or populations to its political will, Israel is now waging a war ...

Power Outages Hit Tehran After Strikes on Energy Infrastructure

Parts of Tehran and the neighboring Alborz Province were plunged into temporary darkness on Sunday night after strikes damaged elements of the local electricity grid, according to Iranian state media and international reports. The disruptions followed a new wave of airstrikes attributed to the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), targeting areas in and ...

Israel Strikes Tehran as Trump Says Iran Deal May be Reached 'Soon'

Israel said Monday it was striking military targets across Tehran, a day after US President Donald Trump insisted a deal could "soon" be reached, while not ruling out ground operations. Iran also launched fresh strikes on Israel, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia after its electrical facilities came under attack at the weekend, cutting power to parts of ...

Iran's Ambassador Won't Leave Lebanon Despite Expulsion: Diplomatic Source

Iran's ambassador will not leave Lebanon despite being declared persona non grata and ordered to leave the country by Sunday, an Iranian diplomatic source told AFP. "The ambassador will not leave Lebanon, in accordance with the wishes of the speaker of parliament Nabih Berri and of Hezbollah," the source said, speaking on condition ...

Iran Claims Aluminium Plant Attacks in Gulf as Houthis Join War

Iran claimed on Sunday attacks on two major aluminium plants in the Gulf, further raising the economic stakes of the Middle East war after Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis joined the conflict. The war that began on February 28 with US-Israeli attacks on Iran has mushroomed throughout the region, sending world energy markets into a tailspin and ...

Hezbollah Boycotts Cabinet Session Over Iran Ambassador Expulsion

Ministers from Hezbollah and its ally Amal boycotted Lebanon's cabinet session on Thursday in protest after the government declared the Iranian ambassador persona non grata, a Lebanese official told AFP. The two Shia parties have a combined four ministers, while one independent Shia minister was instead present at the meeting, the official said, ...

Israel Strikes Iranian Energy Infrastructure Before U.S. Diplomacy Deadline

Israel struck infrastructure targets across Iran on Friday, with Iranian officials saying the attacks hit two major steel factories, a power plant and multiple nuclear-linked sites as the campaign widened beyond purely military targets. The IDF claimed credit for the strikes on nuclear related facilities, just days after President Trump extended ...

Israel Strikes Key Iranian Naval Facility as U.S. Considers Troop Buildup in Middle East

Israel on Friday struck a key Iranian naval weapons facility, escalating Middle East tensions as the United States weighs a major troop buildup in the region.  The Israeli military announced that it has carried out a major airstrike targeting what it described as Iran’s most central facility for the production of naval missiles and sea ...

Lebanon Expels Iran’s Envoy, but the IRGC Still Looms Large

While Lebanese authorities’ decision to expel Iran’s envoy to the country marks a significant attempt to restore state sovereignty and redefine the bounds of ties between Tehran and Beirut, its practical impact on the ground remains limited. Beirut’s move comes amid an escalating war between Israel and Hezbollah that has underscored the ...

Lebanon’s Paralysis, Hezbollah’s Impunity, and a War Without Exit

Hopes for a swift end to Israel’s military campaign in Lebanon have all but faded, as Jerusalem signals it is preparing to establish a buffer zone up to the Litani River until Hezbollah is no longer a threat. At the same time, U.S. policymakers privately acknowledge that de-escalation is not possible without a fundamental shift within Lebanon ...

Israel Political Unity on Iran War Fractures, Opposition Warns of 'Security Disaster'

Israel's opposition on Thursday signalled an end to the political consensus over the war against Iran — a conflict the military now says requires far more combat troops, particularly on the Lebanese front. "I want to warn the citizens of Israel. We are facing another security disaster," the country's main opposition leader and head of the ...

Al-Rai Reiterated His Call for the 'Neutrality' of Lebanon

The Maronite patriarch, Bechara al-Rai, once again reiterated his call for Lebanon's neutrality, asserting that the Land of the Cedars is “a land of dialogue and peace.” Stigmatizing the “genocidal and brutal” war in Gaza, which has been going on since October 7, and its consequences for Lebanon, Archbishop al-Rai denounced the Hebrew ...