Statistics Lebanon Ltd, a company specializing in opinion polls and market research, conducted a survey on the war in Gaza and its impact on the political and security reality in Lebanon. The survey was conducted from October 13 to 17, 2023.
The survey used the CATI telephone communication technique, as well as the PPS “Probability Proportional Sampling” methodology, accompanied by a regular sampling method. The sample included the different Lebanese villages, as well as a gender sample, in addition to different age groups, socio-economic levels, income levels and educational levels. The fieldwork was carried out by ten interviewers.
1. “Hamas wins an unprecedented victory in Palestine.”
78.5% of those surveyed agreed that “Hamas is winning an unprecedented victory in Palestine,” while 21.0% rejected this statement.
2. “Hamas initiated the war and targeted civilians, so it’s legitimate for Israel to retaliate appropriately.”
74.0% of respondents rejected this statement, while 24.0% supported it.
3.”What is happening today is an Iranian-American battle, not a Palestinian-Israeli one.”
55.0% of respondents agreed with this statement, while 43.5% rejected it.
4. “Hezbollah does not want to enter the Gaza war.”
49.0% of respondents agreed with this statement, while 48.5% rejected it.
5. “Hezbollah must participate in this war and must launch strikes from Lebanon.”
61.0% of respondents rejected this statement, while 38.5% supported it.
6. “If Hezbollah wants to take part in this war, it must do so from the occupied territories.”
69.5% of respondents agreed with this statement, while 29.0% rejected it.
7. “This war has achieved an internal gain for Israel, leading to the formation of an emergency government to manage the war.”
65.5% of respondents rejected this statement, while 32.05% supported it.
8. “If Israel loses this war, the Palestinians in Lebanon will return home.”
73.5% of respondents agreed with this statement, while 26.0% rejected it.
9. “This war will lead to the disappearance of Israel.”
56.5% of respondents agreed with this statement, while 43.5% rejected it.
10. “This war will weaken Gaza.”
51.0% of respondents rejected this statement, while 49.0% supported it.
11. “It is necessary for Lebanon to be neutral with regard to this war.”
73.5% of respondents agreed with this statement, while 26.5% rejected it.
12. “This war will lead to the signing of a peace agreement with Israel.”
73.5% of respondents rejected this statement, while 26.0% supported it.
13. “Have you made provisions in anticipation of the war?”
83.5% of respondents said no, while 7.5% said yes.
14. “The war influences the decision to stay or leave Lebanon.”
46.5% of respondents said that they did not want to leave Lebanon, compared with 24.5% who had thought about leaving but decided to stay. 19.5% said that they had considered leaving at the start of the war but were waiting for the right moment, while 9.5% said that they had not initially considered leaving but were doing so now.
15. “Change at work.”
54.5% of those questioned said that there had been no change in their work, compared with 45.5% who noticed a change in their work.