A former minister believes that there is no judicious reason, even from Israel’s perspective, for an imminent or inevitable open war against Lebanon at this stage of the confrontations with Hezbollah. According to a Western military expert, a distinction should be made between “a war without controls and ceilings,” as Hezbollah’s Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah said, and a “controlled military escalation.”
In the opinion of Western military circles, the cost of the war in southern Lebanon will be high and devastating, not only for Lebanon, but also for Israel, in view of Hezbollah’s powerful military arsenal.
One military expert contends that if it breaks out, “the war will not remain confined to the south, but will engulf the whole region.”
“After the destruction of Gaza, Lebanon and Israel would be devastated, and the United States would be embroiled in the war on Israel’s side, endangering its high interests in the region ahead of the presidential elections, a matter that will be detrimental to US President Joe Biden’s campaign for renewing his term in office,” the expert adds.
