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3. One Million Refugees Are Expected to Return to Syria in 2026

The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) predicted that around one million Syrian refugees will return to their country during 2026, given the gradual recovery that Syria is witnessing after the fall of the Assad regime.
Gonzalo Vargas Llosa, the UNHCR representative in Syria, stated, "Our estimates indicate that 2026 could see the return of about one million more people, meaning that more than 4 million Syrians will return within a two-year period."
Some 1.3 million Syrian refugees have already returned to their country since December 2024, in addition to some 2 million internally displaced people who have returned to their original areas, according to Llosa.  

He explained that more than 3 million Syrians have returned, in a relatively short period of time, to their areas in a country exhausted by war on economic, structural, and service levels.
Regarding future prospects, Llosa said, "Since December 8, 2024, Syrian refugees have returned mainly from Türkiye, Lebanon, and Jordan, and to a lesser extent from Egypt and Iraq."