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3. Hamas Has Lost 20-30% of Fighters, According to U.S. Intelligence

According to the U.S. newspaper Wall Street Journal, the Palestinian armed group Hamas has reportedly lost between 20% and 30% of its fighters since October 7. The article, dated January 21st, cites sources within U.S. intelligence agencies.

This figure aligns with statements made by the Israeli military last week, which announced the deaths of approximately 9,000 Hamas fighters. Before the outbreak of the war, the Israeli military command estimated the organization's strength at 30,000 soldiers.

Weakened but Not "Eradicated"

According to U.S. intelligence estimates, between 10,500 and 11,700 fighters have also been wounded and may soon return to the front lines. This estimate differs however from that of the Israeli military, which claims that 16,000 Hamas soldiers have been injured, with half of them unable to return to combat.


These new estimates confirm the challenges faced by the Israeli military in its mission, assigned by Israeli authorities since the deadly attacks on October 7: to eradicate Hamas. After more than 100 days of intense airstrikes and ground fighting in the Gaza Strip, the Israeli military continues to encounter fierce opposition on the ground. Moreover, the Wall Street Journal article, again citing U.S. sources, indicates that the armed movement possesses enough ammunition to sustain combat for several more months.

Aubin Eymard